[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 050540
SWODY1
SPC AC 050538

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CST WED JAN 04 2006

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW PFN 15 NNE AAF
35 SSW VLD 40 SE SAV ...CONT... 35 NNE DAB ORL 30 ESE FMY 30 S MTH.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL CHARACTERIZE CONUS
THROUGH PERIOD...FEATURING MEAN TROUGH OVER ERN STATES AND RIDGE
FROM SRN CA NNEWD ACROSS CANADIAN ROCKIES.  MOST PROMINENT SHORTWAVE
FEATURE OVER LAND WILL MOVE FROM PRESENT POSITION OVER CENTRAL/SRN
PLAINS...BECOMING DECIDEDLY POSITIVELY TILTED AS IT MOVES SEWD
THROUGH MEAN TROUGH POSITION AND ACROSS GULF COAST STATES. 
ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT IS FCST TO SWEEP ESEWD FROM CURRENT
POSITION OVER CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/MS DELTA REGIONS...ACROSS NRN
GULF... ATLANTIC COAST AND MOST OF FL BY 6/12Z.

...FL...SERN GA...
SCATTERED-NUMEROUS TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS ERN GULF ALONG
OR AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AS IT MOVES ACROSS OPTIMAL OCEAN SFC-LAYER
HEAT FLUXES CHARACTERIZING LOOP CURRENT.  SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
EXTEND NEWD ACROSS NRN AND WRN FL...AND EVENTUALLY WRN KEYS LATE IN
PERIOD.  HOWEVER...MARGINAL LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY...COMBINED WITH
DETRIMENTAL EFFECT OF WLY PREFRONTAL WINDS ON BOUNDARY LAYER FRONTAL
ASCENT...PRECLUDE SEVERE PROBABILITIES WITH ANY TSTMS THAT DO MOVE
ACROSS REGION.

..EDWARDS.. 01/05/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM