[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 050050
SWODY1
SPC AC 050048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CST WED JAN 04 2006

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SYNOPTIC PATTERN ALOFT CONTINUES TO BE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED.  UPPER
LEVEL HIGH IS EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY AS ANTICYCLONE
OFFSHORE BAJA CA...WITH MEAN RIDGE EXTENDING GENERALLY NNEWD ACROSS
NV THROUGH CANADIAN ROCKIES.  MEANWHILE...SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
PERTURBATIONS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW ASSOCIATED
WITH MEAN TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM HUDSON BAY TO WRN GULF OF MEXICO.
 STRONGEST SHORTWAVE IS EVIDENT ATTM IN PROFILER DATA AND MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...FCST TO MOVE ESEWD
ACROSS ARKLATEX REGION THROUGH END OF PERIOD.

AIR MASS ACROSS CONUS WILL REMAIN TOO DRY AND/OR STABLE TO SUPPORT
TSTMS THROUGH REST OF PERIOD...WITH REMOTE POSSIBILITY OF AN
EXCEPTION OVER LOWER TX COAST/LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY REGION.  SFC
DEW POINTS MID/UPPER 60S ARE ANALYZED FROM CRP SWD AND
OFFSHORE...WITH WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE EXPECTED TO MOVE SWD THROUGH
AREA TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...GIVEN LOSS OF DIURNAL SFC HEATING AND
ASSOCIATED STRENGTHENING OF SBCIN...MODIFIED CRP RAOB AND RUC
SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT ELEVATED MOISTURE AND BOUNDARY LAYER FORCING
EACH SHOULD REMAIN TOO WEAK TO YIELD GEN TSTM POTENTIAL OVER LAND.

..EDWARDS.. 01/05/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM