[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 160057
SWODY1
SPC AC 160055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST WED FEB 15 2006

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MIDWEST...
DEEP LAYER FRONTAL ZONE WAS ALIGNED WITH EXTENSIVE BELT OF STRONG
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS NEWD TO THE ERN GREAT
LAKES THIS EVENING. FRONTAL WAVE CYCLONE HAS ATTEMPTED TO FORM ALONG
THIS FRONT OVER SWRN MO IN RESPONSE TO A DEAMPLIFYING SHORT WAVE
TROUGH NOW MOVING EWD TOWARD THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY. A MUCH MORE
AMPLIFIED UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL SPREAD SEWD ACROSS THE
FOUR CORNERS AREA THROUGH TONIGHT WITH STRONG LEE-SIDE SURFACE
CYCLONE FORMING ALONG THE FRONT OVER SWRN KS BY THURSDAY MORNING.

SLOPED/ISENTROPIC ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
THROUGH TONIGHT BENEATH LARGE SCALE JET COUPLING ONGOING FROM MO TO
IND. WHILE AIR MASS IS CURRENTLY TOO DRY AND STABLE TO SUPPORT
TSTMS...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION INTO THE FRONTAL
SURFACE...COUPLED WITH CONTINUING LARGE SCALE BACKGROUND
ASCENT...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO OVERCOME INHIBITION AND RESULT IN
WIDELY SCATTERED ELEVATED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT. DESPITE STRONG SHEAR
WITHIN THE FRONTAL ZONE...LACK OF STRONGER INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED
TO MINIMIZE THE THREAT OF SEVERE HAIL.

..CARBIN.. 02/16/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WERE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 AND ARE NOW AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THIS TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM