[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 061632
SWODY1
SPC AC 061630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM CST MON FEB 06 2006

VALID 061630Z - 071200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE BPT 40 SE POE
30 SSE MLU 30 SSW GLH 10 S MKL 55 NNE HSV 20 SSE CHA 30 SE AGS 20
NNE SSI 55 E AAF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER N TX/ERN OK/AR THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EWD
OVER THE NRN GULF STATES THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  IN ADVANCE OF THIS
MID LEVEL WAVE...A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER NE LA WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS
MS/AL TO S GA. ELEVATED CONVECTION IS ONGOING ACROSS THE NRN MS
AREA IN THE REGION OF STRONGER WAA/ASCENT.  S OF THIS CONVECTION...A
MODIFYING CP AIR MASS /DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 F/ IS
RETURNING NWD TO SRN LA/MS/AL IN THE WARM SECTOR.  THIS MOISTURE AND
DAYTIME HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK
INSTABILITY BASED NEAR THE SURFACE ACROSS SRN LA/MS/AL BY THIS
AFTERNOON...WHERE MUCAPE MAY APPROACH 500 J/KG.  

THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE LIMITED...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW ORGANIZED/PERSISTENT STORMS NEAR THE SURFACE
LOW AND ALONG THE TRAILING COLD FRONT. THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND STRONG WINDS...THOUGH IT APPEARS
THAT THE SEVERE STORM THREAT SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

..THOMPSON.. 02/06/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM