[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Sun Feb 5 20:01:41 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 051959
SWODY1
SPC AC 051958

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 PM CST SUN FEB 05 2006

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE GGG 40 WNW DEQ
15 WSW FSM 10 E RUE 45 SSE BVX 30 NNE TUP 20 NW TCL 40 ESE MEI 30 W
MCB 25 N POE 40 NNE GGG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ARKLATEX TO LWR MS VLY...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL ROCKIES WILL TRANSLATE SEWD INTO THE
 CNTRL/SRN PLAINS TONIGHT.  SLY FLOW AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WAS
ADVECTING MODIFIED CP AIR MASS NWD THROUGH THE WRN GULF BASIN WITH
50F SURFACE DEW POINTS AS FAR N AS HOUSTON AS OF MID-AFTN.  LLJ WILL
INCREASE THIS EVENING...ENHANCING MOISTURE TRANSPORT/WARM ADVECTION
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX.  AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING WAVE SPREADS SEWD...GRADUAL MOISTENING AND STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION ALOFT.  SUFFICIENT
BUOYANCY SHOULD DEVELOP BETWEEN 03-12Z FROM WRN AR/NRN LA SEWD INTO 
THE LWR MS VLY TO SUPPORT ARCS OF ELEVATED TSTMS.  THOUGH
CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS...POOR QUALITY OF MOISTURE RETURN WILL MITIGATE UPDRAFT
STRENGTH AND PROSPECTS FOR LARGE HAIL PRODUCTION.

..RACY.. 02/05/2006

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








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