[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 swody1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Dec 19 00:40:55 UTC 2006


ACUS01 KWNS 190041
SWODY1
SPC AC 190039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 PM CST MON DEC 18 2006

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW NOW CENTERED
OVER SRN CA/NRN BAJA CA WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.  AS A RESULT...SHOWERS
AND PERHAPS A FEW SPORADIC/EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD ACROSS PARTS OF THE SWRN CONUS.

MEANWHILE...INCREASING WARM/MOIST ADVECTION IS FORECAST ACROSS W
TX/ERN NM...AS ELY/SELY LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AHEAD OF UPPER
LOW.  THIS MAY YIELD MARGINAL BUT SUFFICIENT CAPE FOR A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES WITHIN LARGER AREA OF SHALLOWER CONVECTION.

..GOSS.. 12/19/2006








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