[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 020042
SWODY1
SPC AC 020040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 PM CST FRI DEC 01 2006

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NERN U.S....

...NERN STATES THROUGH SRN NEW ENGLAND...

STRONGLY FORCED SQUALL LINE FROM SRN NH SWD THROUGH NJ AND MD WILL
CONTINUE RAPIDLY EWD AND OFFSHORE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WITH
80+ KT JUST OFF THE SURFACE...THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS WITHIN THE LINE. AS STORMS CONTINUE
EAST...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER A BOUNDARY LAYER THAT IS MORE STABLE OVER
SRN NEW ENGLAND DUE TO THE INFLUX OF COOLER MARINE AIR. AS A RESULT
STORMS MAY BECOME A LITTLE LESS EFFICIENT TRANSPORTING STRONGER
WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE AND UNDERGO GRADUAL WEAKENING.
HOWEVER...AT LEAST ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST UNTIL ACTIVITY MOVES OFFSHORE. LARGE 0-2 KM HODOGRAPHS WILL
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES WITH ANY SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE LINE.
HOWEVER...TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY DECREASE AS THE
LINES MOVES EAST INTO A MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.

..DIAL.. 12/02/2006