[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 090043
SWODY1
SPC AC 090041

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT SAT APR 08 2006

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT OVER FAR SERN GA SWD
INTO NRN AND CNTRL FL...

...SERN GA / NRN AND CNTRL FL...

CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS ARE ONGOING THIS EVENING FROM
NEAR AND N OF JAX SWWD INTO THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO AHEAD OF SRN
STREAM MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE SRN APPALACHIANS SWD INTO
THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO.  MOIST BOUNDARY-LAYER CONDITIONS COUPLED
WITH MODEST LAPSE RATES ARE SUSTAINING A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS AHEAD OF THESE STORMS PER 00Z JAX/TBW SOUNDINGS WITH MLCAPES OF
1000-1500 J/KG.  STRONGEST MID AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE
FORECAST TO LIFT NEWD ACROSS THE WRN ATLANTIC IN ADVANCE OF MORE
PROGRESSIVE NRN STREAM TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NRN AND CNTRL
APPALACHIANS.  HOWEVER...40-45 KT WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE
SUSTAINED ACROSS PRE-FRONTAL INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS THE CNTRL FL
PENINSULA OVERNIGHT.  

HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHOULD
MAINTAIN NE-SW ORIENTED BANDS OF TSTMS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT WITH THIS ACTIVITY GRADUALLY SHIFTING SWD
INTO THE CNTRL PENINSULA.  GIVEN THE MODEST LAPSE RATES AND
MODERATELY STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELDS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SEVERE HAIL WITH THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 04/09/2006