[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 110042
SWODY1
SPC AC 110040

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0740 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2005

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE ISN 20 WSW GDV
25 WNW SHR 15 NW BPI 35 NW DPG 40 ESE U31 10 NNW TVL 40 SSW RBL 35
SSW EKA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW TUS 35 NW TUS
50 N TUS 55 SE SOW 20 WNW 4CR 25 WNW CVS 25 NW LBB 60 NE BGS 20 ESE
ABI 30 SSE FTW 50 WSW TYR 35 WSW LFK 10 W GLS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW FMY 20 SSE VRB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WA...
A LARGE WRN US UPPER-TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TONIGHT.
THE UPPER-LOW CENTER IS LOCATED OVER WA AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED IN THIS REGION. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
CONFINED TO THE NRN ROCKIES AND PACIFIC NW NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
UPPER-LOW. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A POCKET OF 500 MB
TEMPS BELOW -22 C WHICH IS CREATING STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
SUGGESTING A BRIEF HAIL THREAT MAY EXIST WITH THE STRONGER CELLS
EARLY THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND RELATIVELY
WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL.

ELSEWHERE...SW FLOW IS PRESENT IN THE CNTRL US WITH AN UPPER-RIDGE
IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN US. THIS IS RESULTING IN LITTLE OR NO ASCENT
ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE US WHICH SHOULD LIMIT
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE IN SRN AND WRN
TX WHERE CONVECTION IS ONGOING DUE TO GREATER INSTABILITY PRESENT IN
THAT REGION.

..BROYLES.. 09/11/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.