[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 311607
SWODY1
SPC AC 311605

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1005 AM CST MON OCT 31 2005

VALID 311630Z - 011200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
CRP 25 ESE HDO 40 ENE JCT 35 SSW FTW 15 SE FTW 45 SSW PRX 10 N SHV
45 SE ESF 55 SSE 7R4.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW DRT 55 E FST
25 NW BGS 45 ESE LBB 20 SSE CDS 25 NE SPS 15 W TUL 35 ENE BVO 15 ENE
TOP 10 SW IRK 35 NNW PIA 25 E MSN 45 ENE AUW 50 NE GNA ...CONT... 50
E BAX 30 S FDY 35 NE SDF 60 N MOB 55 E BVE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW APF 30 ESE
PBI.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN TX AND
WRN LA...

...SRN PLAINS...
STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE DIGGING SEWD ACROSS SRN PLAINS TO
BE LOCATED OVER LOWER MS VALLEY BY END OF FORECAST PERIOD.  COMBINED
WITH RETURN OF GULF AIRMASS A STRONGLY FORCED SOLID LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM NWRN AR SWWD INTO
NCENTRAL TEXAS.

AS OF LATE MORNING WITH AVAILABLE MARGINAL INSTABILITY STORMS REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. AS TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ASSOCIATED MID
LEVEL COOLING SPREADS EWD ACROSS TX.  ALONG WITH SURFACE
TEMPERATURES HEATING INTO THE MID/UPPER 70S...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
FAVORABLE BY EARLY AFTERNOON FOR INCREASING THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS
AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE.
MLCAPES BY MID AFTERNOON WILL RANGE UPWARDS FROM AROUND 500 J/KG
ARKLATEX REGION TO NEAR 1500 J/KG SCENTRAL TX.

A NEAR SOLID LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SEWD
REACHING UPPER TX COAST BY MID EVENING. FURTHER E ACROSS LA
OVERNIGHT INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAKER AND AS A RESULT EXPECT WITH
CESSATION OF DAYTIME HEATING...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD GRADUALLY END.

..HALES/TAYLOR.. 10/31/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.