[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Oct 28 00:43:07 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 280041
SWODY1
SPC AC 280039

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0739 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2005

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW BLI 25 W SEA
40 W PDX 45 SW ONP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW DRT 25 W DRT
50 NNW DRT 55 SSW SJT 35 NNW JCT 40 NE JCT 45 WNW AUS 15 NE BAZ 30
NW VCT 70 S PSX.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...S TX...

A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS MOVED THROUGH S TX AND INTO NRN
MEXICO. DEEP LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING
SEWD THROUGH CNTRL TX AND ISENTROPIC LIFT N OF SWD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY SHOULD MAINTAIN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER S CNTRL THROUGH S
TX THIS EVENING. MOST STORMS ARE ELEVATED ABOVE A BOUNDARY LAYER
THAT HAS BEEN STABILIZED BY THE CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW. HOWEVER...STORMS
MOVING THROUGH DEEP S TX ARE NEAR SURFACE BASED WHERE ELY LOW LEVEL
FLOW IS MAINTAINING AN INFLUX OF HIGHER THETA-E AIR. VERTICAL SHEAR
THROUGH THE CLOUD LAYER IS SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. AN
ISOLATED STORM OR TWO MAY REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WIND
GUSTS AND HAIL THROUGH 03Z. HOWEVER...INTENSITIES SHOULD CONTINUE AN
OVERALL DECREASE THIS EVENING.

..DIAL.. 10/28/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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