[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 290043
SWODY1
SPC AC 290042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CST MON NOV 28 2005

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW
PNS 30 WSW SEM 20 SSE BHM 25 SW CHA 35 ESE CHA 35 NW AHN 40 SSE AHN
30 NW AYS 40 SW CTY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE BVE 55 ESE MEI
BHM 50 ESE BWG 10 NNW LEX 35 WSW UNI 30 NNE CRW 30 SW SHD 15 SSW AVC
40 SSE ILM ...CONT... 30 N PBI APF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NE APN 15 W OSC 20
NNE LAN 30 SSE AZO 20 E BEH 20 NE MKG 40 NNW TVC 95 NNE MQT.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF AL/GA AND
THE FL PANHANDLE...

...AL/GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE...
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS AL/GA OVERNIGHT. A WEAK WARM
FRONT...EXTENDING FROM THE COLD FRONT IN EAST CENTRAL AL SEWD INTO
THE NRN FL PANHANDLE...WILL ALSO SHIFT EWD. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST
FORCING AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LARGE CYCLONE OVER THE UPPER
MIDWEST IS WELL NORTH OF THE AREA...STRONG CONVERGENCE SHOULD RESULT
IN THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH THE FORCING IS
MOSTLY LINEAR... DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY GIVEN THE VERY
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AT 60-70 KT. THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND
RELATIVELY STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR...ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT...WILL SUPPORT A TORNADO THREAT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT ACROSS NERN AL AND NRN GA...ELEVATED
SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE
WINDS/HAIL.

...OH VALLEY...
WIDESPREAD BAND OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO ACCOMPANY THE SURFACE
FRONT EWD THROUGH THE REGION. HOWEVER...ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS
AVAILABLE...RESULTING IN INSUFFICIENT DEPTH FOR LIGHTNING. THE
PRESENCE OF WEAK MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES ALONG WITH THE STRONGER
FORCING LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA SUGGESTS THE THUNDER AND SEVERE
THREAT IS EXTREMELY LIMITED.

..IMY.. 11/29/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM