[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 18 12:50:19 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 181247
SWODY1
SPC AC 181245

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 AM CST FRI NOV 18 2005

VALID 181300Z - 191200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE EAST
COAST...REINFORCED BY SHORTWAVE IMPULSE DIVING SEWD ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST TONIGHT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL
FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE SE STATES...WITH DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS
KEEPING TSTM PROBABILITIES NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

NEAR REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION APPEARS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA/FL KEYS AND ADJACENT WATERS
THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT. PERSISTENCE OF MID LEVEL WARM LAYER/WEAK
LAPSE RATES OBSERVED IN 12Z REGIONAL RAOBS SUGGESTS CONVECTION
SHOULD REMAIN SHALLOW...WITH TSTM/LIGHTNING PROBABILITIES MINIMAL.

..GUYER/HALES.. 11/18/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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