[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 18 05:32:35 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 180530
SWODY1
SPC AC 180528

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 PM CST THU NOV 17 2005

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED FROM THE ROCKIES
EWD...WITH MULTIPLE EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGHS TRAVERSING THE CNTRL
STATES AND NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE SE
STATES AND PREVALENT DRY/STABLE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE TSTM
PROBABILITIES THIS PERIOD.

NEAR REMNANT FRONTAL BOUNDARY...SOME SCATTERED CONVECTION APPEARS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA/KEYS AND ADJACENT WATERS.
ALTHOUGH MID LEVELS WILL COOL SLIGHTLY...PERSISTENCE OF RELATIVE
WARM LAYER/WEAK LAPSE RATES PER MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGESTS CONVECTION
SHOULD REMAIN SHALLOW...WITH TSTM/LIGHTNING PROBABILITIES
NEGLIGIBLE.

..GUYER/DARROW.. 11/18/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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