[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 101632
SWODY1
SPC AC 101631

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1031 AM CST THU NOV 10 2005

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S VBG 40 SW BFL 30
SSE FAT 35 S TVL 30 W LOL 55 W OWY 35 W TWF 25 SE BYI 25 NE DPG 55
SE U24 15 WSW 4BL 60 W FMN 50 WSW GUP 65 E PHX 40 S GBN 75 SE YUM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 W COT 25 W COT 35
E COT 15 NW CRP 50 ESE CRP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED YET PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CONUS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD OVER
THE NE STATES. SFC COLD FRONT HAS EXITED THE ERN SEABOARD...WITH
TRAILING SRN PORTION OF THE FRONT PUSHING SLOWLY SWD ALONG THE GULF
COAST. IN THE WEST...PERSISTENT CUT-OFF LOW OFF THE CNTRL/SRN CA
COAST WILL BEGIN TO EJECT EWD TODAY OWING TO UPSTREAM KICKER. 

...SRN CA/GREAT BASIN...
UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT OVER
SRN CA/NRN BAJA. EWD SPREADING LARGE SCALE ASCENT COUPLED WITH
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES/INCREASING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR TSTMS ACROSS SRN CA AND MUCH OF THE GREAT BASIN
THROUGH TONIGHT. ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED...ALTHOUGH
STRONGER CELLS COULD PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL LATE TODAY/TONIGHT
ACROSS SRN CA INTO AZ OWING TO LOW FREEZING LEVELS/MODEST BUOYANCY
ADVERTISED IN MODEL SOUNDINGS.

..GUYER/EVANS.. 11/10/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.