[SWODY1] SWODY1

[Severe Weather Outlook Day 1]

ACUS01 KWNS 050049
SWODY1
SPC AC 050048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CST FRI NOV 04 2005

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BLI SEA OLM 40 W AST.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND DISCUSSION...
BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN SITUATED ACROSS THE CONUS...WITH
UPPER JET STRENGTHENING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES OVERNIGHT. COLD
AIR ALOFT AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED LIGHTNING
STRIKES ALONG THE PACIFIC NW COAST EARLY THIS PERIOD...BUT THUNDER
CHANCES HERE WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS STRONG UPPER RIDGING TAKES
PLACE.

FARTHER E...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD OUT OF NEBRASKA AND
STRENGTHEN...EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD INTO SRN KS BY
MORNING. E OF THIS BOUNDARY...SLY FLOW AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF
SURFACE HIGH WILL ALLOW FOR NWD TRANSPORT OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
ALTHOUGH SOME ELEVATED CAPE WILL EXIST...WEAK FORCING AND EXISTENCE
OF DRY CAPPING LAYER SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT INTO
THE MID MS OR OH VALLEYS.

..JEWELL.. 11/05/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.