[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Nov 3 05:50:06 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 030541
SWODY1
SPC AC 030540

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1140 PM CST WED NOV 02 2005

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE BLI 40 W YKM 45
SE EUG 35 W 4BK.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE/LOW-AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WRN
HALF OF THE U.S. THIS PERIOD...WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW/FRONT
FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  STABLE AIRMASS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MOST OF THE CONUS THIS PERIOD...LIMITING THE
POTENTIAL FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION.

...PAC NW COAST...
VORT MAX NOW OFF THE PAC NW COAST WILL MOVE INLAND THIS PERIOD. 
COOLING MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON /-26 TO -28 C/
SHOULD SUPPORT MINIMAL DESTABILIZATION...WHICH COMBINED WITH
LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SHOWERS AND PERHAPS
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.  GREATEST THREAT FOR
LIGHTNING SHOULD RESIDE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE OLYMPICS
AND COASTAL RANGES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 11/03/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.








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