[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 090105
SWODY1
SPC AC 090103

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0803 PM CDT SUN MAY 08 2005

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE
RRT 40 SW EAU 30 NE LWD 35 NW FYV 50 SSW HRO 50 NNW LIT 35 N ELD 40
E DAL 30 ENE SAT 30 NW LRD ...CONT... 35 SSE DRT 20 SSE ABI 30 NW
MWL 25 NE CSM 35 NW END 35 W HUT 40 S SUX 25 ESE ABR 30 SSW JMS 25
NE BIS 75 NNE DVL.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W
MFE 50 N MFE 30 SW ALI 15 SW ALI 30 E CRP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNW FCA 20 E LVM
30 SW CPR CYS 15 W FCL 50 NE CAG 20 W BPI 45 W VEL 25 NNW U24 50 NNE
ELY 40 ENE U31 40 SSE NFL 20 SE FAT 35 WSW MER 50 S EKA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE ANJ 25 NW MBL
LAF 40 NW HOP 20 SSE MEM 30 SW GWO 15 NNW MCB 45 SE HUM ...CONT...
10 NW DRT 55 SSW LTS 25 WNW GAG 25 NNE LBL 25 SE HLC 20 SSW OLU 25
NNW OFK 30 NNW BBW 30 ENE CDR 10 S RAP 40 WNW Y22 70 NNE DVL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE PLAINS FROM THE ERN
DAKOTAS / WRN MN TO CENTRAL TX...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS DEEP S TX...

...THE PLAINS FROM THE ERN DAKOTAS / MN SWD THROUGH TX...
NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF STRONG / LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE FROM
THE ERN DAKOTAS / SWRN MN SWD INTO CENTRAL / S TX...AHEAD OF SURFACE
LOW AND ASSOCIATED N-S TROUGH / DRYLINE.  AIRMASS AHEAD OF SURFACE
BOUNDARY REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH WIDESPREAD 500 TO 1500
J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE INDICATED.  

THOUGH LOCAL SEVERE THREAT WILL PERSIST ACROSS MANY AREAS...OVERALL
TREND SHOULD BE SLOWLY DOWNWARD IN TERMS OF STORM INTENSITY /
SEVERITY.  MUCH OF THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN
CONVECTIVELY CONTAMINATED...AND THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING / SLOW
BOUNDARY-LAYER STABILIZATION SUGGEST THAT STORMS SHOULD SLOWLY
WEAKEN WITH TIME THIS EVENING / OVERNIGHT.

IN THE MEAN TIME...STRONG / SEVERE STORMS WILL PERSIST -- MAINLY
WHERE POCKETS OF CONVECTIVELY-UNCONTAMINATED AIR REMAIN...AS WELL AS
ACROSS PARTS OF THE ERN DAKOTAS / WRN MN AHEAD OF MAIN UPPER VORT
MAX.  THOUGH TORNADO THREAT HAS DECREASED OVERALL...HAIL / LOCALLY
DAMAGING WIND THREAT WILL CONTINUE WITH STRONGER / MORE PERSISTENT
AREAS OF CONVECTION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  

FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO OTHER SPC
CONVECTIVE PRODUCTS.

..GOSS.. 05/09/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.