[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 011625
SWODY1
SPC AC 011624

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CDT SUN MAY 01 2005

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE CTY 35 SE JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E MSS 45 SE UCA 25
S IPT 25 SW LBE 20 ESE CMH 40 WSW TOL 10 N LAN 20 SSE APN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 E BLI 40 NNW YKM
60 ENE RDM 25 SW BNO 55 WNW OWY 40 ENE ENV 45 WNW GJT 60 N ALS CAO
45 SW GAG 40 SSW LTS 30 NNW ABI 40 NW BGS 35 SSE 4CR 40 S GUP 35 W
GCN 50 NNE DRA 75 WNW TPH 15 NW SVE 45 W MHS 40 S ONP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
EXPANSIVE VORTEX OVER NRN ONTARIO/JAMES BAY WILL ONLY SLOWLY MIGRATE
EWD INTO MONDAY...WITH BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW/WESTERLIES ENCOMPASSING
THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS. ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF COLD FRONT THAT
EXITED THE ERN SEABOARD EARLY THIS MORNING...SCT TSTMS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA INTO TONIGHT. ISOLD LOW TOPPED
TSTMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS THE
ERN GREAT LAKES REGION OWING TO MODEST INSOLATION/SFC HEATING
BENEATH VERY COLD TEMPS ALOFT.

FURTHER WEST...COMBINATION OF OROGRAPHIC FORCING/MARGINAL
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO ISOLD TSTMS FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
THE SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING -- AND POSSIBLY AS FAR EAST
AS NW TX AND PERHAPS FAR WRN OK TONIGHT INVOF ELEVATED BAROCLINIC
ZONE.

...FL...
ONGOING LARGE MCS CONTINUES TO GRAZE SOUTHWEST FL COAST/FLORIDA KEYS
AT MIDDAY. ADDITIONAL TSTMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS
THE FL PENINSULA ALONG/SOUTH OF COLD FRONT...HOWEVER THICK CLOUD
COVER/LIMITED LAPSE RATES SUGGEST SEVERE WIND/HAIL THREAT IS
NEGLIGIBLE.

..GUYER/HALES.. 05/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.