[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 170044
SWODY1
SPC AC 170042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CST WED MAR 16 2005

VALID 170100Z - 171200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM VRB 10
WNW FMY ...CONT... 10 WNW PIE 15 SE DAB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S CTY 40 SE JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE 63S 25 E GEG 15
W PUW 40 NW ALW 20 NNW YKM 15 NNW OLM 20 SSE UIL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
FL PENINSULA...

...CENTRAL FL PENINSULA...
STRONGER SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED NEWD OFF THE FL COAST AND SO HAS
MOST OF THE STRONGER CONVECTION. HOWEVER...SCATTERED STORMS CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG A WEAK SWD MOVING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/FRONT AND
SUFFICIENT SHEAR/INSTABILITY REMAINS FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS FOR
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. A WEAK SUB-SYNOPTIC LOW WAS LOCATED ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY EAST OF TPA IS TRACKING ENEWD AT 35 KT AND WILL MOVE OFF
THE PENINSULA PRIOR TO 03Z. THE VEERED WINDS IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER
SUGGEST WIND DAMAGE IS THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE STORMS LOCATED NEAR
AND EAST OF THIS SYSTEM. 

WEAK IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SOUTHERN JET STREAM MAY 
INCREASE THE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE LATER TONIGHT. HOWEVER... BOUNDARY
LAYER COOLING AND WEAK LAPSE RATES SUGGEST THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
WILL BE LIMITED.

..IMY.. 03/17/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.