[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 121943
SWODY1
SPC AC 121941

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0141 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2005

VALID 122000Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW TUS 40 W TUS 40
NNE TUS 30 W SAD 20 ENE SAD 40 WNW SVC 25 SSW SVC 70 SSW DMN.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S 3HT 20 NNW COD
50 WSW COD 40 NNW JAC 20 SE DLN 55 W BTM MSO 25 SE FCA 35 SW CTB 25
S 3HT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
GPS PW AND GOES SATL PW ANALYSIS SHOW THAT THERE HAS BEEN A MINOR
INCREASE IN MSTR ACROSS SCNTRL/SERN AZ THE PAST 24-HRS WITH 10-15 MM
VALUES IN THE LWR DESERTS.  DIURNAL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN
MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE INTO SERN AZ THIS AFTERNOON WITH
MLCAPES 700-800 J/KG GIVEN A 84/36 SURFACE PARCEL.  BUOYANCY COUPLED
WITH FAVORABLE UPWARD MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK VORT MAX PASSING
ACROSS SRN AZ WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ISOLD TSTMS. HIGHER PROBABILITIES
WILL EXIST ALONG THE MEXICAN BORDER...BUT A TSTM MIGHT DEVELOP AS
FAR NORTH AS THE CATALINAS/RINCONS IN SERN AZ AND AS FAR EAST AS THE
CEDAR MTNS IN SWRN NM. ACTIVITY WILL QUICKLY DISSOLVE AFTER
SUNSET/LOSS OF HEATING.  NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED...BUT
GUSTY WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE.

...WRN MT...
ISOLD TSTMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MTNS OF SWRN MT THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON ON CYCLONIC SIDE OF A 70 KT H5 JET DIGGING SWD INTO
THE NRN GREAT BASIN.  ACTIVITY MAY SPREAD AS FAR SEWD AS THE TETONS
OF NWRN WY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

..RACY.. 03/12/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.