[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 110053
SWODY1
SPC AC 110051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 PM CST THU MAR 10 2005

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING SWD THROUGH KS/MO WILL DIVE SSEWD
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY OVERNIGHT. DESPITE STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
LARGE SCALE FORCING...CONVECTION ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY HAS NOT
BEEN ABLE TO SUSTAIN SUFFICIENT DEPTH FOR LIGHTNING. GIVEN LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING...THUNDER THREAT THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH THIS SYSTEM
WILL BE LIMITED.

AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO IS ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO ACROSS THE SIERRA MOUNTAINS....GIVEN STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND WEAK FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.


STABLE AIR MASS WILL INHIBIT CONVECTION ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
COUNTRY.

..IMY.. 03/11/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.