[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 081626
SWODY1
SPC AC 081624

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 AM CST TUE MAR 08 2005

VALID 081630Z - 091200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
OAJ 50 W ECG 10 E ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW FMY 10 SE VRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE DRT 15 SE CRP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S SJT 35 N MAF 20
WSW RTN 55 E GUC 15 S FCL 25 SW SNY 50 ESE GLD 25 NNW ADM 40 N DAL
35 N CLL 25 W AUS 45 S SJT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW ILM 25 WSW OAJ
30 NE RWI 40 W ORF 20 SSW WAL.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS ERN NC AND EXTREME SERN
VA...

...ERN NC AND EXTREME SERN VA...
FAST-MOVING LINE OF ORGANIZED TSTMS CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE INTO ERN
NC AND SERN VA LATE THIS MORNING.  EXTRAPOLATION BASED ON A 270/48
MOVEMENT SUGGESTS THAT THE LINE WILL CLEAR THE OUTER BANKS BY 18Z. 
VERY STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELDS /AOA 50KTS JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE/ HAVE MAINTAINED THE LINEAR STRUCTURE TO THE STORMS THIS
MORNING.  WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE HAS BEEN REPORTED AND THIS THREAT
WILL SPREAD TOWARD THE OUTER BANKS THROUGH 18Z.  AFTER THE LINE
MOVES OFF THE COAST...STRONG COLD ADVECTION/PRESSURE RISES WILL
ENSUE AND THE SEVERE THREATS WILL DIMINISH RAPIDLY.

...FL PENINSULA...
WIDESPREAD BAND OF SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS SRN FL
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH CNTRL PARTS OF THE PENINSULA. 
CLOUDS WILL LIMIT HEATING TODAY AND INSTABILITY WILL PROBABLY NOT
INCREASE FROM CURRENT VALUES.  MOREOVER...VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED
TO DECREASE AND THE MAJORITY OF THE UVV WILL BEGIN TO TRANSLATE
RAPIDLY NEWD LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  AS A RESULT...THE SEVERE THREAT
WILL BE TOO LIMITED/MARGINAL TO INCLUDE IN A CATEGORICAL SLGT RISK.

..RACY/GUYER.. 03/08/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.