[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 241238
SWODY1
SPC AC 241236

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 AM CST MON JAN 24 2005

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW TUS 15 NE TUS
65 ESE PHX 10 SW SOW 55 SW GNT 25 N ONM 35 WSW 4CR 40 SE TCS 45 SW
SVC 20 ESE DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW NOW OVER EXTREME NW MEXICO EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NNE
ACROSS SRN AZ THROUGH ABOUT MIDDAY TODAY BEFORE TURNING MORE E INTO
NM LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY TONIGHT. FARTHER W...SHORTWAVE TROUGH
NOW NEAR 32N/128W EXPECTED TO LIFT NNE OFF THE CA CST AHEAD OF 
STRONGER/BROADER UPSTREAM SYSTEM APPROACHING 140W.

...SRN/ERN AZ INTO WRN NM...
THUNDER THAT HAS BEEN OCCURRING OVER SRN AZ DURING THE OVERNIGHT MAY
DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING AS ASSOCIATED DEFORMATION ZONE SHEARS
ALONG A W/E AXIS NEAR TUS/FHU. ADDITIONAL WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS
MAY...HOWEVER...DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE ERN RIM
COUNTRY EWD INTO PARTS OF NM LATER TODAY AS SURFACE HEATING AND
APPROACH OF UPPER VORT CENTER DESTABILIZE REGION.  THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER NIGHTFALL.

...CNTRL CA...
SOME CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER THE SACRAMENTO AND SAN
JOAQUIN VALLEYS EARLY TUESDAY AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID LEVEL
MOISTURE INFLOW INCREASE AHEAD OF UPPER SYSTEM GLANCING THE CNTRL CA
CST.  DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK INSTABILITY AOA 700MB MAY SUPPORT A FEW
SUSTAINED ELEVATED UPDRAFTS.  BUT WITH THE MAIN UPPER VORT CENTER
LIKELY TO REMAIN OFFSHORE...EXPECT THAT TEMPERATURE PROFILES WILL
REMAIN TOO WARM FOR SUBSTANTIAL CHARGE SEPARATION/LIGHTNING.

..CORFIDI.. 01/24/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.