[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 240037
SWODY1
SPC AC 240036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CST SUN JAN 23 2005

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE YUM 35 WSW GBN
45 SE PHX 25 SSW SAD 45 E DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN AZ...
DEEP...MOIST CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY MOVED/DEVELOPED NWWD ACROSS
SONORA AND WRN CHIHUAHUA MEXICO TO VICINITY OF THE AZ BORDER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...AHEAD OF OPENING UPPER-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF CA. DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT
SAMPLED BY 00Z TUS IS ONLY WEAKLY UNSTABLE WITH A MULI OF -1 AND
MUCAPE OF LESS THAN 15 J/KG. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT THE
COMBINATION OF MARGINALLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /I.E. 7 C/KM /
AND INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT ARE CONTRIBUTING TO SUFFICIENT
BUOYANCY TO SUPPORT ONGOING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. AS THIS
LARGE-SCALE FORCING BEGINS TO SHIFT N OF INTERNATIONAL BORDER
TONIGHT...EXPECT A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN LIGHTNING ACTIVITY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN AZ.

..MEAD.. 01/24/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.