[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 231225
SWODY1
SPC AC 231223

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0623 AM CST SUN JAN 23 2005

VALID 231300Z - 241200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW GBN 30 WSW GBN
15 SSW PHX 25 SSW SAD 45 E DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SRN BRANCH SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW 30N/135W APPEARS TO HAVE INTENSIFIED
UPON MOVING INTO BASE OF LARGE SCALE TROUGH.  AS PATTERN REMAINS
PROGRESSIVE OVER THE PACIFIC...EXPECT IMPULSE TO TURN MORE NEWD
LATER TODAY AND FORCE DOWNSTREAM UPPER LOW OVER NRN BAJA TO LIFT N
TOWARD THE AZ/MEXICAN BORDER BY 12Z MONDAY. 

...SRN AZ...
LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASCENT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN
QUARTER OF AZ THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AS BAJA UPPER LOW
BEGINS TO EJECT NEWD.  THE LATEST MODEL FORECASTS AGREE THAT AN AXIS
OF HIGH-BASED INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP ON NRN FRINGE OF SYSTEM...
WITH MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 100 J/KG.  COUPLED WITH MESOSCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH LOW...SETUP MAY SUPPORT A NARROW BAND OR TWO OF
THUNDER DESPITE UNFAVORABLE TIME OF DAY.

..CORFIDI.. 01/23/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.