[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 230531
SWODY1
SPC AC 230529

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST SAT JAN 22 2005

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
DEEP...MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE ERN THIRD OF THE
NATION WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY TODAY/TONIGHT AS IT TRANSLATES EWD
INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC. IN THE W...A SLIGHT EWD SHIFT IN MEAN RIDGE
AXIS IS FORECAST OVER THE ROCKIES AND ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS REGION AS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH /CURRENTLY NEAR 30N/138W/ APPROACHES THE W COAST.
AS THIS OCCURS...CLOSED...MID/UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER CNTRL BAJA CA
WILL OPEN AND LIFT NEWD ACROSS SONORA MEXICO DURING THE LATTER HALF
OF THE FORECAST.

...SRN AZ...
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT LAPSE RATES AND LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED AHEAD OF OPENING UPPER SYSTEM.
DOWNSTREAM REGION OF FORCING FOR ASCENT MAY SUPPORT CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO ALONG OR JUST N OF
THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...IT APPEARS THAT
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN TOO LIMITED TO WARRANT INCLUSION OF GENERAL
THUNDER AREA ATTM.

..MEAD.. 01/23/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.