[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Jan 21 16:01:06 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 211556
SWODY1
SPC AC 211555

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0955 AM CST FRI JAN 21 2005

VALID 211630Z - 221200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE IPL 75 SW PRC
55 SW SOW 40 ESE DUG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

VIGOROUS TROUGH DIGS SEWD FROM UPR MS VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY WITH
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING TONIGHT LOWER OH VALLEY.  CUT-OFF LOW
VICINITY CENTRAL BAJA CA WILL CONTINUE DRIFTING NEWD THRU THE
PERIOD.

...SRN AZ...
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO CIRCULATE AROUND UPR LOW INTO SRN AZ. WHILE
LITTLE INSTABILITY DEPICTED ON 12Z TUS SOUNDING...CONTINUED INCREASE
IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TODAY SHOULD RESULT IN FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR THE CURRENT ACTIVE CONVECTION IN NRN SONORA TO DEVELOP NWD INTO
SRN AZ.  WITH UPPER LOW BURIED UNDER WRN RIDGE ANY MOVEMENT NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE SLOW AND LIKELY ERRATIC.

...TN VALLEY...
MODIFIED MOISTURE RETURN FROM WRN GULF OF MEXICO COUPLED WITH STRONG
UPWARD MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH DIGGING TROUGH AND SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
CONVECTION LATE IN  PERIOD  VICINITY TN VALLEY.  THUNDERSTORM THREAT
TO MOSTLY OCCUR AFTER 12Z SATURDAY WITH ANY DEVELOPMENT THIS
FORECAST PERIOD EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED AND LATE TONIGHT.

..HALES.. 01/21/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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