[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 141926
SWODY1
SPC AC 141924

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0124 PM CST FRI JAN 14 2005

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S FMY 50 ESE FMY
40 WNW PBI 15 SE MLB.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...S FL...
EARLY AFTERNOON MESOANALYSIS SHOWED OUTFLOW-ENHANCED BOUNDARY OVER
THE SRN FL PENINSULA FROM NEAR PBI SWWD INTO THE CNTRL FL KEYS.
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY COUPLED WITH LARGER-SCALE
ASCENT IN RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF UPPER JET STREAK FROM THE SRN
APPALACHIANS INTO ERN CANADA HAVE MAINTAINED CONVECTIVE LINE
STEADILY EWD ACROSS THE PENINSULA TODAY. PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS
REMAINS QUITE MOIST /I.E. DEWPOINTS OF 70-75 F/ WHICH IS LARGELY
CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY OVER THE FAR SERN PENINSULA
WHERE MLCAPES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 1000 J/KG.

WHILE STRONGEST MID-LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE LAGGING SURFACE BOUNDARY
BY 100-150 MILES...CURRENT MIA VWP DOES INDICATE A VEERING WIND
PROFILE WITH AROUND 35 KTS OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND 0-3 KM SRH OF
100-150 M2/S2. THUS...POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF TORNADO AND/OR STRONG
WIND GUST WILL EXIST WITH MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS FOR THE
NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS...BEFORE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES OFFSHORE.

..MEAD.. 01/14/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.