[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Thu Jan 6 00:51:14 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 060050
SWODY1
SPC AC 060049

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST WED JAN 05 2005

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
IN MID/UPPER LEVELS...SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE
DEAMPLIFYING/ACCELERATING AS IT EJECTS NEWD ACROSS UPPER MS VALLEY
TOWARD GREAT LAKES.  ASSOCIATED SFC CYCLONE -- NOW ANALYZED OVER
LOWER OH VALLEY -- WILL LIFT NEWD ACROSS OH...WHILE COLD FRONT MOVES
SEWD OVER WRN/MID TN...REMAINDER AR...MUCH OF LA...AND OFFSHORE MOST
OF TX COAST.  EXPECT FRONT TO DECELERATE OVER TX GULF WATERS
OVERNIGHT.

BAND OF PRECIP WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF TONIGHT BEHIND SFC COLD
FRONT...MORE POORLY ORGANIZED WITH SWWD EXTENT.  ALTHOUGH 50-250
J/KG ELEVATED MUCAPE WAS EVIDENT IN 00Z SHV/LZK RAOBS...EXPECT
ASCENT TO CONTINUE WEAKENING ALONG AND N OF SFC FRONT AS UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WEAKENS AND MOVES AWAY FROM AREA.  THOUGH A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT...OVERALL TSTM THREAT HAS BECOME QUITE
ISOLATED AND PROBABILITIES HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW CATEGORICAL THUNDER
OUTLOOK RISK.

..EDWARDS.. 01/06/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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