[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Wed Jan 5 12:53:16 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 051253
SWODY1
SPC AC 051251

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 AM CST WED JAN 05 2005

VALID 051300Z - 061200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S GGG 35 SE SEP 30
ENE ABI 10 NE LTS END 10 SE EMP LWD CID DBQ 50 SW MBL GRR 30 NW FWA
15 SSE IND 35 SW OWB 35 SW MKL 30 W GLH 25 SSE SHV 25 S GGG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...OK/NRN TX ACROSS MIDDLE MS VALLEY...
UPPER LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING NEWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY EVENING...REACHING THE WRN
GREAT LAKES BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.  SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY OVER
NRN AR/SRN MO IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DEEPEN AS IT MOVES NEWD ALONG
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TOWARD OH VALLEY...WHILE COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD
INTO NRN/WRN TX WILL SURGE SEWD ACROSS TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS FROM W TX ACROSS OK AND SRN MO HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT WITHIN ZONE OF ELEVATED
INSTABILITY.  AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF THE UPPER LOW
MOVES NEWD TOWARD THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY...A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE TO SPREAD FROM OK ACROSS PARTS OF MO AND
IL TOWARD WRN IN THIS EVENING. OVERALL COVERAGE OF ACTIVITY IS
LIKELY TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS STORMS MOVE INTO DECREASING
INSTABILITY OVER MO AND IL. 

THERE IS ALSO POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG OR IMMEDIATELY NORTHWEST OF THE COLD
FRONT AS IT MOVES INTO MARGINALLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PARTS
OF NRN TX AND AR.

..WEISS.. 01/05/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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