[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 281624
SWODY1
SPC AC 281622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 AM CST MON FEB 28 2005

VALID 281630Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE FMY 20 NNE
PBI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE BLI 50 WNW EAT
40 N DLS 25 WNW RDM 45 S EUG 30 N OTH.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH FL...
PRIMARY WIND SHIFT AND FOCUS FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION EXTENDS FROM
JUST SOUTH OF THE KEYS INTO THE BAHAMAS AT 16Z.  THUS... EXPECT
MAJORITY OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE THROUGH THE
EARLY AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER...SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL MOVE NNEWD
NEAR THE KEYS TODAY.  ALSO...MAIN COLD FRONT IS JUST NOW MOVING INTO
SRN FL AND EXTENDS FROM NEAR PBI TO JUST SOUTH OF APF AT 16Z. 
THOUGH CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH WLY FLOW IN THE WARM
SECTOR...THERMODYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
CONVERGENCE SUFFICE.  GIVEN DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...ANY STORM COULD
PRODUCE HAIL/WIND AROUND SEVERE LEVELS AND WARRANTS MAINTAINING LOW
SEVERE PROBABILITIES INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON. 

...PAC NW...
UPPER LOW AND ONSHORE FLOW IN WAKE OF ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL SUPPORT SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR LOW TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY. ACTIVITY WILL MOST LIKELY REMAIN ALONG OR WEST OF THE
COASTAL RANGE.

..EVANS.. 02/28/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.