[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 200103
SWODY1
SPC AC 200102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CST SAT FEB 19 2005

VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE LIT 25 ENE FYV
40 NW SGF 30 WSW TOP 20 NW FNB 50 ESE OMA 30 ESE OTM 15 WNW SPI 35
WNW EVV 10 ESE CKV 25 NE MEM 25 NE LIT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW UKI 55 SE RBL
15 SSW TVL 25 WSW BIH 40 ENE NID 25 S U24 25 NNE U28 40 S 4FC 25 ENE
TAD 45 WSW GAG 30 NE ABI 35 NNE JCT 45 ESE P07.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER CO VALLEY / SWRN AZ...
BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER CO VALLEY
ATTM...THROUGH AXIS OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY /AOB 500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER
CAPE/. THIS CONVECTIVE CLUSTER SHOULD CONTINUE / SPREAD ACROSS SWRN
AZ AS UPPER SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TRANSLATES ENEWD THROUGH THIS EVENING.
 LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING / BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION SHOULD ALLOW
STORMS TO SLOWLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY...ALTHOUGH THREAT FOR HAIL /
LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS MAY CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS OR SO.

...SERN NM / PARTS OF FAR W TX AND THE TX SOUTH PLAINS...
LOW-END SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS ACROSS PARTS
OF SERN NM / FAR W TX INTO PARTS OF THE TRANSPECOS REGION AND TX
SOUTH PLAINS.  THUNDERSTORMS -- INCLUDING A FEW LOW-TOPPED
SUPERCELLS -- HAVE BEEN OBSERVED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS IN
MODERATELY-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF SRN STREAM SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
NOW CROSSING THIS REGION.  THOUGH DEWPOINTS NEAR 50 COMBINED WITH
DAYTIME HEATING HAVE RESULTED IN AROUND 500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER
CAPE...STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER THIS EVENING SHOULD CORRESPOND TO
A DECREASING SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THIS REGION.

..GOSS.. 02/20/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.