[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 191207
SWODY1
SPC AC 191205

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0605 AM CST SAT FEB 19 2005

VALID 191300Z - 201200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM JBR HRO JLN MHK BIE
40 N FNB P35 STL MDH 10 SSE PAH DYR JBR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW ONP 20 E ONP 30
S SLE 40 ESE EUG 30 NE MFR 45 W MHS RBL 45 NE MER BIH P38 BCE CNY
GJT GUC SAF 4CR CNM MAF 25 SE DRT.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

LARGE UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN OFF THE CA COAST FOR THE LAST COUPLE
OF DAYS WILL BEGIN SHIFTING EASTWARD TODAY...WITH MAIN SHORTWAVE
TROUGH ROTATING ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST STATES.  SCATTERED
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MUCH OF CA INTO THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION...AS WELL AS FAR WEST TX.  TWO SMALL AREAS WITHIN
THIS REGION APPEAR TO HAVE A SLIGHTLY HEIGHTENED THREAT OF STRONG
CONVECTION TODAY.

...SOUTHERN CA COAST THIS MORNING...
PRIMARY UPPER VORT MAX IS APPROACHING THE LA BASIN AT THIS TIME. 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST FOR THE
LAST FEW HOURS...WITH ISOLATED CELLS SHOWING SOME POTENTIAL FOR
HAIL.  THIS THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID MORNING AS NEW CELLS
GENERATE JUST OFFSHORE AND MOVE INLAND.  ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH BY
THIS AFTERNOON AS UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EASTWARD.

...SOUTHWEST AZ THIS AFTERNOON...
PRESENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT PRIMARY UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN AZ BY THIS AFTERNOON.  AXIS OF HIGHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
VALUES IS PRESENT IN THIS REGION...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID
50S.  COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING...COOLING ALOFT...AND
INCREASING UPPER FORCING FOR VERTICAL MOTION WILL AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.  A FEW STORMS
COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OR HAIL.  ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

..HART.. 02/19/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.