[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 181937
SWODY1
SPC AC 181936

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0136 PM CST FRI FEB 18 2005

VALID 182000Z - 191200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW UKI 10 S RBL
TPH MLF 4BL LVS 20 NW INK 30 SSW P07.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CA...
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
THICKER MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUD SHIELD HAS SHIFTED INLAND...
ALLOWING A 70-80 MILE WIDE CORRIDOR FROM VBG/OXR NWD TO SFO TO
RECEIVE COMPARATIVELY STRONGER DIABATIC HEATING. WHEN COUPLED WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S AND STEEPENING LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...AIR MASS HAS BECOME UNSTABLE WITH SBCAPES OF 500-1000 J/KG.
EXPECT TSTMS TO BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT FROM THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL NEWD ACROSS AFOREMENTIONED
AREA AS FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH
/CURRENTLY NEAR 30N AND 125W/ BEGINS TO SHIFT EWD. GIVEN THE STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...POTENTIAL FOR SOME
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST WITH
MOST VIGOROUS CONVECTION.

..MEAD.. 02/18/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.