[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 021243
SWODY1
SPC AC 021241

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 AM CST WED FEB 02 2005

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE 7R4 35 ESE MCB
35 E MEI 30 SSW ANB 30 SSW ATL 20 ENE MCN 60 SE MCN 35 E VLD 15 W
CTY.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A RATHER STAGNANT PATTERN CONTINUES OVER THE CONUS WITH A BROAD MID
LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS TO THE SWRN STATES...AND
MID LEVEL RIDGING OVER BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC COASTS.  WITHIN
THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS/SW...ONE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
EJECTING ENEWD OVER OK THIS MORNING...WHILE ANOTHER CLOSED LOW IS
BEGINNING TO FORM INVOF NRN BAJA CA.  THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY
INTO THE SE...ALONG AND SE OF THE PATH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT
WILL MOVE FROM ERN OK TO THE TN VALLEY BY TONIGHT.

THE SURFACE WARM SECTOR REMAINS OFFSHORE ACROSS THE NRN GULF...WHILE
CONVECTION PERSISTS FROM THE NRN GULF ACROSS SE LA INTO SRN MS/AL
WITHIN A BELT OF WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY.  THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND INTO TONIGHT WILL SHIFT EWD ALONG WITH THE
LOW-MID LEVEL FORCING FOR ASCENT IN ADVANCE OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH.
 WEAK INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE STORM THREAT.

..THOMPSON.. 02/02/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.