[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 020057
SWODY1
SPC AC 020055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST TUE FEB 01 2005

VALID 020100Z - 021200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 N BRO 45 ESE LRD
50 S SAT 25 NNW SAT 50 WNW TPL 35 NE ACT 20 SSE GGG 35 NNE MLU 20 S
GWO 20 S 0A8 45 WSW TOI 50 NNW PNS 30 WSW PNS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SE TX TO LWR MS VLY...
WATER VAPOR AND PROFILER/VWP DATA ATTM SHOW UPR LOW ON THE CO/NM
BORDER EDGING SLOWLY E...WHILE ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER
W TX LIFTS NEWD AT A SOMEWHAT MORE RAPID RATE TOWARD THE N CNTRL
PART OF THE STATE.  THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD CONTINUE NE INTO SE OK/SW
AR THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW SHIFTS E INTO NW OK.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM CNTRL FL WNW INTO
AN INVERTED TROUGH OFF THE CNTRL LA CST.  A WEAK WAVE WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP LATER THIS EVENING INVOF THE TROUGH/FRONT INTERSECTION...AND
THE WAVE SHOULD TRACK NE INTO THE MS RIVER DELTA REGION BY 12Z
WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED ELEVATED THUNDER EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG 925/850 MB
FRONT OVER SE TX TONIGHT.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD E/NE INTO NRN
LA/CNTRL MS BY MORNING.  FARTHER SE...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW
SURFACE OR NEAR-SURFACE-BASED STORMS OVER EXTREME SE LA DURING THE
09-12Z PERIOD AS GULF SURFACE WAVE NEARS REGION.  DEEP SW TO WSWLY
SHEAR WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 50 KTS OVER SRN LA BY MORNING AS 70 KT
SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH TX SPEED MAX ENTERS NW LA.  BUT
INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED /MUCAPE AOB 500 J PER KG/ GIVEN
RELATIVELY WEAK LAPSE RATES...ABSENCE OF SURFACE HEATING AND
CONTINUED COOL...LOW LEVEL DRAINAGE FLOW FROM RAIN AREA OVER THE
CNTRL GULF CST.  AS A RESULT...ANY SEVERE THREAT OVER SE LA SHOULD
BE ISOLATED.

..CORFIDI.. 02/02/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.