[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 010544
SWODY1
SPC AC 010542

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 PM CST MON JAN 31 2005

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N BRO 25 NE MFE 60
WNW MFE ...CONT... 40 WSW MRF 25 SE FST 25 SE SJT 15 SSW MWL 10 S
DAL 50 WSW TYR 40 E CLL 45 NE HOU 15 SW HEZ 15 SSW LUL 50 NW CEW 25
ESE PNS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW...CURRENTLY OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...WILL BE EJECTED
EWD TODAY AS AN UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE TROUGH...NOW LOCATED ACROSS ORE/
NRN NV...CONTINUES TO DIG SWD TOWARD THE SWRN STATES.  MEANWHILE...
NWRN MEXICO SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE NEWD REACHING CENTRAL
TX BY 00Z...AND THEN OVER AR AREA BY 12Z WEDNESDAY.  NNELY SURFACE
WINDS OVER MUCH OF TX TO THE GULF COAST STATES IS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE NWRN AND NRN GULF OF MEXICO WITH A
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER LAND.  THIS WILL KEEP THE SURFACE
BAROCLINIC ZONE OFFSHORE THIS FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS THE NWRN TO
NORTH CENTRAL GULF. 

...TX TO LOWER MS VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES...
WEAK SURFACE WAVE CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG THE BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF
LA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD TODAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED SWLY
LLJ NOSING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WITHIN WAA REGIME
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN MS/SWRN AL.  AS SURFACE WAVE MOVES EWD...WAA
CONVECTION NORTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SHOULD SPREAD INTO SRN
AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE.  

MEANWHILE...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO BE ONGOING ACROSS SRN TX AT
12Z TUESDAY AS LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER THE WRN GULF BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN
IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT FALLS IN ADVANCE OF THE NWRN MEXICO
TROUGH...WITH WAA INCREASING OVER THIS REGION. WAA PERSISTING
THROUGH THE DAY BENEATH COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED
TO RESULT IN WEAK INSTABILITY FOR AN INCREASING TREND IN ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN/CENTRAL TO SERN TX. 
THIS TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE/DEVELOP NEWD OVER THE
LOWER MS VALLEY TONIGHT...AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITHIN ENTRANCE
REGION OF 75 KT SWLY MID LEVEL JET ACCOMPANYING SHORT WAVE TROUGH
SPREADS OVER THIS REGION AND LLJ VEERS.  ELEVATED NATURE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE A SEVERE THREAT
WITHIN THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA THIS PERIOD.

..PETERS.. 02/01/2005

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.