[SWODY1] SWODY1

Severe Weather Outlook Day 1 SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Tue Dec 6 01:01:35 UTC 2005


ACUS01 KWNS 060057
SWODY1
SPC AC 060055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST MON DEC 05 2005

VALID 060100Z - 061200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE
MLB 30 W SRQ ...CONT... 35 WNW PIE 20 ENE SGJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE VRB 50 W FMY
...CONT... 45 SSW CTY 35 ENE JAX.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS A SMALL PART OF
NRN/CNTRL FL PENINSULA...

...NRN/CNTRL FL...
PRE-FRONTAL LINE OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS NRN FL. VEERED
BOUNDARY LAYER WIND FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THESE STORMS HAS ADVECTED
SLIGHTLY MORE BUOYANT AIR EWD FROM THE NEARBY GULF WATERS.  THIS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT TSTMS THROUGH MID-EVENING AS THE
CONVECTIVE LINE SINKS SLOWLY SEWD TOWARD TAMPA BAY AND THE CAPE.  

LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS RELAXED OWING TO THE VEERING BOUNDARY LAYER
FLOW...BUT REMAINS MODEST THROUGH THE COLUMN WITH BULK SHEAR AOA
40KTS. THOUGH BOWING SHORT LINE SEGMENTS SHOULD REMAIN THE FAVORED
STORM MODE...EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE. WEAK
POTENTIAL INSTABILITY/LAPSE RATES WILL BE NEGATIVE FACTORS FOR
SUSTAINED ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.  YET...ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
OR PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH MID-EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN/CNTRL FL.

..RACY.. 12/06/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:

   WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
   WUUS01            PTSDY1
   WUUS02            PTSDY2
   WUUS03            PTSDY3

A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM








More information about the SwoDy1 mailing list