[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 010056
SWODY1
SPC AC 010054

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2005

VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE YUM 50 NNW GBN
35 ENE PHX 10 SSW SOW 15 N FMN 20 ENE GUC 20 ESE 4FC 45 E GLD 25 SE
CNK 20 W LWD 35 W ALO 20 NNW RST 45 SSW DLH 35 NW ELO ...CONT... 110
NNE CMX 40 ESE AUW 25 W MMO 40 NE VIH 15 WNW SGF 25 S PNC 30 N CSM
25 SE AMA 55 SSW LBB 25 SSE MAF 40 ESE P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW MFE 10 NW NIR
55 S CLL 50 N BPT 40 NNW BTR 55 ESE MEI 35 WSW MCN 50 SE AGS 25 S
CHS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE ISP POU 25 WSW
GFL 25 NW PBG.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN NEW ENGLAND...
STRONG WIND FIELD AHEAD OF REMNANT LOW KATRINA WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD EAST ACROSS NRN AND ERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. AIR MASS WITHIN
THE ZONE OF STRONGEST SHEAR WAS WARM AND VERY MOIST WITH WEAK LAPSE
RATES APPARENTLY LIMITING OVERALL STRENGTH OF STORM UPDRAFTS.
WIDESPREAD ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT TROPICAL SYSTEM
UNDERGOING ABSORPTION BY A MID LATITUDE TROUGH OVER CANADA SHOULD
MAINTAIN THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED EMBEDDED TSTMS MOVING NEWD ACROSS
MA...NH...AND ME OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITHIN THE LARGER RAIN
SHIELD. AT PRESENT...THE MAJORITY OF THIS CONVECTION APPEARS LINEAR
IN CHARACTER WITH AREA SRM LOOPS INDICATING ONLY WEAK SHEAR COUPLETS
ASSOCIATED WITH ISOLATED STRONGER REFLECTIVITY ON LEADING EDGE OR
TRAILING PORTIONS OF THE LINES. ACARS SOUNDINGS FROM MHT AND
BGR...AS WELL AS LATEST RAOB FROM CAR...INDICATED PRONOUNCED SRH AND
CLASSIC HODOGRAPH STRUCTURE THROUGHOUT THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE.
THEREFORE...ONE OR TWO OF THE STRONGER UPDRAFTS COULD STILL PRODUCE
IN A BRIEF TORNADO OR DAMAGING WIND GUST TONIGHT.

...IA/MO...
DEEP LAYER OCCLUDED CYCLONE ACROSS SRN MANITOBA IS FCST TO MOVE
GRADUALLY EAST TONIGHT AS ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
UPR MS VLY AND TRAILS SWD/SWWD FROM THE MIDWEST TO KS/OK. DESPITE
MODEST DESTABILIZATION ALONG THE FRONT THIS EVENING OVER
IA/MO...GENERALLY WEAK LARGE SCALE SUPPORT FOR ASCENT AND LIMITED
MOISTURE APPEAR TO BE INHIBITING MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. THE ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING WILL FURTHER RESTRICT
TSTMS FROM DEVELOPING THIS REGION OVERNIGHT.

..CARBIN.. 09/01/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.