[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 081631
SWODY1
SPC AC 081629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT FRI APR 08 2005

VALID 081630Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW DAB 15 ESE TLH
25 ENE RMG 15 WNW 5I3 25 ENE SBY.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM ONP 15 SE LMT 95 E
4LW 45 ENE EKO 20 WNW ELY 35 NNW BIH 35 W UKI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW FMY 10 ESE
VRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW FMY 10 ESE
VRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MHN 25 W IML
30 NNW LHX 50 NNW LVS 35 WSW FMN 30 WNW U17 30 W PUC 50 NNE EVW 40
NW COD 25 NNE 4BQ 35 NE RAP 60 WNW VTN 30 WSW MHN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...EXTREME SRN FL / KEYS...
SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES 65-72 DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE SRN PENINSULA
OF FL AS OF LATE MORNING BUT THESE VALUES WILL DROP THROUGHOUT THE
DAY AS LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER AND INSTABILITY AXIS SHIFTS EWD.
NEVERTHELESS...WEAK LARGE SCALE CONVERGENCE COMBINED WITH DIURNAL
EFFECTS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED STORMS ENDING FROM W TO E THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND OR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE GIVEN
MODERATE INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN PLACE.

...ERN GA / CAROLINAS...
WEAKENING UPPER LOW WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD
AND WEAK SURFACE LOW. POCKETS OF HEATING AND WEAK LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WILL ALLOW SCATTERED STORMS TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. 
MODIFIED FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS THE CAROLINAS WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO
HOLD NEAR 60.  WEAK SHEAR PROFILES SUGGEST STORMS WILL BE SHORT
LIVED WITH LITTLE ORGANIZATION.

...ERN UT INTO SERN WY / NRN CO...
A NEGATIVELY TILTED SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGE SCALE WRN TROUGH
WILL SWING NEWD THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS AREA TODAY. INSTABILITY
WILL BE SEVERELY LIMITED...BUT ENOUGH MAY EXIST TO PRODUCE LOCALLY
STRONG WINDS GIVEN STRONG FORCING AND DRY / DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER PROFILES.

..JEWELL / EVANS.. 04/08/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.