[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 041936
SWODY1
SPC AC 041934

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0234 PM CDT MON APR 04 2005

VALID 042000Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MQT 35 SE IWD 55
SSE DLH 30 NE BRD 10 NE BJI 20 W RRT ...CONT... 75 NW ISN 40 E DIK
45 N 9V9 45 SSW EAR 35 N GCK 35 ENE CAO 45 ESE LVS 50 NW ONM 30 NE
SOW 15 N IGM 40 ESE TPH 70 WNW OWY 45 S MSO 40 NNW HVR.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...WEST/ROCKIES...
STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS EWD TOWARD THE
FOUR CORNERS/ROCKIES THROUGH THIS EVENING. SUSTAINED ASCENT AND
MOISTENING AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...COUPLED WITH AREAS OF STRONGER
HEATING ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED TSTMS. DESPITE THE CONTINUATION OF STRONG
FORCING WITH THIS SYSTEM THROUGH TONIGHT...MUCH OF THE CONVECTION
WILL BE DIURNALLY DRIVEN AND SHOULD SUBSIDE BY LATER IN THE EVENING.

...UPPER MS VLY...
HEATING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND UPR MS VLY AREAS WILL RESULT IN
STRENGTHING THE WARM FRONT FORMING NEAR THE ARROWHEAD OF MN THIS
AFTERNOON. AFTER DARK...LOW LEVEL JET WILL FURTHER INTENSIFY AND
IMPINGE ON THIS BOUNDARY. RESULTANT LIFT AND CONTINUED FEED OF
STEEPER LAPSE RATES INTO THIS REGION COULD PROMOTE ISOLATED TSTM
DEVELOPMENT ROOTED WELL ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER FROM THE ARROWHEAD
OF MN TO THE U.P. OF MI THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. DESPITE
STRONG SHEAR ALONG THE BOUNDARY... INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
INSUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS.

..CARBIN.. 04/04/2005

...NOTICE...
THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT ARE NOW AVAILABLE
SEPARATELY UNDER THE WMO HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...
WUUS02 PTSDY2...WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE INCLUSION OF POINTS
IN THIS DISCUSSION WILL BE DISCONTINUED AFTER THE 2005
CONVECTIVE SEASON.  A PUBLIC NOTIFICATION STATEMENT (PNS)
WILL PROVIDE DETAILS ON THE TRANSITION.