[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 010039
SWODY1
SPC AC 010036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 PM CDT TUE AUG 31 2004

VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 S GBN 60 NNW GBN
25 SSE IGM 60 NNE IGM 25 NE CNY 45 SW LAR 10 WSW MHN 45 SSW MHE 30
ESE FAR 15 NE INL ...CONT... 15 ESE ANJ 20 SE ESC 15 NW MLI 30 N TOP
25 W P28 50 NNW ABI 50 S BWD 30 SSE CLL 30 W MCB 25 E MEI 25 SW PSK
20 NE ORF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE CTB 55 ENE S80
60 WNW BOI 55 E MHS 40 NE ACV 20 SE OTH 25 ENE BLI.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN MN SWWD INTO NEB...
LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATED PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM WEAK
LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER CNTRL/E-CNTRL MN SWWD ACROSS NWRN IA INTO
CNTRL NEB. STRONG HEATING ALONG NEB PORTION OF BOUNDARY HAS ALLOWED
FOR LOCAL CAP REMOVAL AND INITIATION OF ISOLATED STORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING JUST N OF THE PLATTE RIVER. DESPITE WEAK
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND RESULTANT MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPES OF 1000-1500 J/KG/
MAY SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST OR
MARGINAL HAIL THROUGH 03 OR 04Z.

FARTHER NE...AN ISOLATED STORM HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY N OF MCW WITH ADDITIONAL TCU NOTED TO THE W ACROSS N-CNTRL
IA. 00Z MPX SOUNDING INDICATED COMPARATIVELY STRONGER SHEAR /I.E.
0-6KM SHEAR OF 35-40KTS/ AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPES OF
AROUND 1500 J/KG. HOWEVER...BOUNDARY-LAYER WAS NOTICEABLY COOLER
WITH A STRONGER CAP. GIVEN THE ABSENCE OF ANY APPRECIABLE
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT...POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED STORMS
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL WILL LIKELY PERSIST ACROSS
S-CNTRL/SERN MN INTO N-CNTRL IA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
THEREAFTER...COOLING BOUNDARY-LAYER AND STRENGTHENING CAP SHOULD
TEND TO DISCOURAGE ANY ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

..MEAD.. 09/01/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.