[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 261531
SWODY1
SPC AC 261529

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CDT TUE OCT 26 2004

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GPT 40 SE MCB
45 SSE GLH 50 E ELD 25 SE TXK 20 ESE ACT 10 SE SAT 20 NW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW FHU 35 NNW PHX
35 ESE GCN 30 NNW 4BL 25 SSE MTJ 35 NW ALS 50 N CAO 45 ESE LAA 20 NW
HLC GRI 30 E OFK 15 SW SPW 20 WSW MSP 60 N EAU 40 SE RHI 10 SSW GRB
25 NNE MKE 10 NE BEH 20 NW FDY 25 N CMH 25 SSW HTS 30 NNW CHA 20 NW
BHM 30 SE MOB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW AST 40 NNW DLS
60 SE DLS 10 NW BNO PIH 30 WSW BPI 35 S EVW 35 SSE SLC 15 SSW U31 45
NNE BIH NID DAG 30 WNW TRM 25 NNW SAN.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CA...
VERY STRONG SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DIG SEWD ALONG AND JUST OFF THE CA
COAST THIS MORNING...WITH ASSOCIATED FRONT NOW SHIFTING SWD ACROSS
CENTRAL CA.  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD PERSIST WITH THIS FRONT AS
IT PUSHES SWD THROUGH THE PERIOD /INCLUDING SMALL LINES AS IS
CURRENTLY APPROACHING SANTA BARBARA/.  HOWEVER...MAJORITY OF
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ACCOMPANY MID LEVEL COLD POCKET /H5 TEMPS AOB
-26C/ AND ONSHORE FLOW IN POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT AS AFTERNOON
HEATING SUPPORTS MARGINAL INSTABILITY. HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY
STRONGER CELLS TODAY WITH SUFFICIENT CLOUD-LAYER SHEAR FOR SHALLOW
SUPERCELLS.  IN ADDITION...WINDS WITH SMALL LINEAR STRUCTURES WITHIN
FRONTAL BAND CONVECTION MAY APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED SEVERE
LEVELS.

...SRN PLAINS ACROSS THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY...
WARM AND MOIST PROFILES WILL PERSIST WITHIN SRN STREAM EXTENDING
FROM MEXICO INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY.  WEAK IMPULSES WILL
CONTINUE FOCUSING THUNDERSTORMS AS THEY SHIFT NEWD...WITH LEADING
SYSTEM NOW OVER MO/IA SHIFTING ENEWD INTO THE SRN GREAT LAKES WHILE
TRAILING SYSTEM NOW MOVING INTO SWRN TX OVERSPREADS THE SRN PLAINS. 
HOWEVER...EXTENSIVE CLOUDINESS AND WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO
LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT...DESPITE PRESENCE OF MODERATE WSWLY MID
LEVEL FLOW.  APPEARS FORECAST AND OBSERVED THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
WILL CONTINUE TO LIMIT HAIL GROWTH AND DOWNDRAFT INTENSITIES.

..EVANS/TAYLOR.. 10/26/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.