[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 260043
SWODY1
SPC AC 260041

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT MON OCT 25 2004

VALID 260100Z - 261200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE FHU 20 NNE SAD
40 WSW GNT 35 SSW CEZ 20 NE 4HV 60 NNW P38 15 NW TPH 15 S U31 35 SSE
BAM 10 E ENV 15 NW BPI 45 WSW CPR 20 SE LAR 45 WSW COS 25 W TAD 40 N
CAO 20 ESE GLD 30 N HLC 25 SE CNK 35 NNE MHK 20 N OMA 30 SE SPW 25 N
ALO 15 S DBQ SPI 10 NE DYR 40 S GLH 30 E SHV 45 SSE DAL 20 SE JCT 35
SE DRT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW CLM 35 ESE AST
25 NNE MHS 20 NW SFO.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN-NCNTRL TX...
TSTMS HAVE BEEN FORMING ON THE NRN/WRN PERIPHERY OF A SURFACE
THERMAL RIDGE FROM NW OF KDRT-KDYS WHERE MLCAPES WERE 1000-1500
J/KG.  VERTICAL SHEAR OF 30-35 KTS NOTED IN THE 00Z KMAF/KDRT
SOUNDINGS IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF STORM ORGANIZATION AND ISOLD
SUPERCELLS WERE OBSERVED VCNTY KSJT AND NW OF KDRT.  MAIN NEGATIVE
FOR SUSTAINED ORGANIZED TSTMS WILL BE THE DECREASING INSTABILITY
THIS EVENING.  AN ISOLD STORM OR TWO MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS/HAIL
FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...ESPECIALLY WITHIN THE HIGHER INSTABILITY
NEAR/NW OF KDRT.

OTHERWISE...WARM ADVECTION WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE NIGHT
ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AS SWLY LLJ ACCELERATES. CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO EXPAND/DEVELOP NEWD FROM THE CURRENT TSTM CLUSTER AND
ALONG/NORTH OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM THE TX PNHDL-CNTRL/NRN OK-MO
OVERNIGHT.  THREATS FOR SEVERE HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH TSTMS WILL BE
VERY LOW OWING TO LIMITED ELEVATED INSTABILITY.

..RACY.. 10/26/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.