[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 210046
SWODY1
SPC AC 210044

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT WED OCT 20 2004

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE GPT 50 ESE MCB
10 SW MCB 30 ESE ESF 35 NNW ESF 20 SE ELD 30 SSW PBF 20 N GLH 30 SSW
UOX TUP 50 S MSL 30 W AUO 15 N VLD 30 SE JAX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S UKI 55 NNE SAC
35 ENE WMC 30 W TWF 25 NW MLD EVW 45 NW 4HV 40 NNW PRC 45 SE YUM.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FL AND PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES...

SEABREEZE BOUNDARY ENHANCED BY CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW EXISTS ACROSS THE
CNTRL PART OF THE FL PENINSULA. MODERATE INSTABILITY PERSISTS ALONG
AND W OF THIS BOUNDARY OVER WRN HALF OF THE FL PENINSULA...AND
SCATTERED STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS BOUNDARY NEXT
2-3 HOURS. HOWEVER...OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR ACTIVITY TO
DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES.


ELSEWHERE OVER THE SERN U.S....A LARGE UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR PERSISTS
S OF BACKDOOR FRONT LOCATED OVER GA AND S OF STATIONARY FRONT FROM
SRN AR THROUGH MIDDLE TN. HOWEVER...WEAK FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT WILL BE LIMITED.

...SWRN U.S....

ISOLATED LIGHTNING MAY ACCOMPANY CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT
FROM CA THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AREA...PRIMARILY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
MID LEVEL ASCENT AND STEEP LAPSE RATES ACCOMPANYING UPPER TROUGH
CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE.

..DIAL.. 10/21/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.