[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 130046
SWODY1
SPC AC 130044

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT TUE OCT 12 2004

VALID 130100Z - 131200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W ELP 50 ENE ELP
30 SSE CNM 20 SSE P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSE DRT 35 SSE COT
30 S ALI 30 WNW MFE.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE TLH CSG 10 NW
LGC 25 NNE TCL 30 S BLV 10 SSW PIA 45 NNW LAF FWA 40 SSE FDY PKB RWI
25 ENE ILM.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W TAD 30 N LVS 15
WSW LVS 25 SSW 4SL 45 NNW 4SL 10 SSE CEZ 35 NNE CEZ 25 W GUC 10 SSW
ASE 25 S 4FC 40 W TAD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...OH VALLEY TO SERN CONUS...
CLOSED UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER SERN MO EARLY THIS EVENING AND THE
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW...CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER SRN IL...WILL BOTH
TRACK SLOWLY NEWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY OVERNIGHT.  TWO WEAK
SURFACE TROUGHS EXTENDING TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE SURFACE
LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY NEWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH VALLEY/ERN TN AND GA.

LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE
CLOSED LOW AND LEAD SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER SRN IND COMBINED WITH
WEAK LOW-LEVEL WAA TO THE NORTH OF THE SURFACE TROUGHS WILL CONTINUE
TO PROVIDE ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS.  FURTHER
BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION IN THE AIR MASS TO THE SOUTH OF THESE
SURFACE TROUGHS AND CONTINUED PRESENCE OF MID-LEVEL INVERSION PER
GULF COAST/SERN STATES 00Z SOUNDINGS WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AND ANY SEVERE THREAT.

...SRN ROCKIES TO PORTIONS OF SWRN AND DEEP SOUTH TX...
POCKETS OF WAA AND STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THESE REGIONS OVERNIGHT...AS WEAK HEIGHT FALLS
DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SSEWD ACROSS THE
ROCKIES AND NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS.  THIS SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST AN
ISOLATED THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS.

..PETERS.. 10/13/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.