[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 142003
SWODY1
SPC AC 142002

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0202 PM CST SUN NOV 14 2004

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW FHU 20 NNE FHU
45 WSW SVC 30 S TCS 25 WNW ROW 15 SSE CVS 25 S AMA 35 NW LTS 25 ENE
SPS 20 N FTW 30 NE ACT 30 ENE CLL 15 NE GLS.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SIT AND SPIN NEAR BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH
SLY FLOW ALOFT PRESENT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. IN RESPONSE...STRONG
MOISTURE ADVECTION AT LOW-LEVELS IS RIDING NWD OVER A DOME OF SFC
HIGH PRESSURE. AS A RESULT...STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT IS OCCURRING
ACROSS SW TX WHICH COMBINED WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY...IS HELPING
TO INITIATE NEW STORMS IN THE MTNS OF FAR W TX AND NEAR THE RIO
GRANDE. AS THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS TONIGHT...CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE AND BANDS OF ELEVATED STORMS WILL SPREAD
NWD ACROSS WCNTRL AND NRN TX.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OFF THE LOWER TX COAST WHICH IS DUE TO
STRONG CONVERGENCE ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. ONSHORE FLOW IN
THE LOWER TO MID-LEVELS MAY HELP THE STORMS MOVE INLAND THIS
EVENING.

..BROYLES.. 11/14/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.