[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 140049
SWODY1
SPC AC 140048

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CST SAT NOV 13 2004

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE IPL 15 NNW BLH
10 NNW EED 50 E LAS 35 NW GCN 80 NNE INW 25 SSW GUP 40 NNW SVC ELP
35 SE INK 50 SE MAF 15 E BWD 20 ENE AUS LRD.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN STATES TO PARTS OF CENTRAL/SRN TX...
UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER AZ WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SWD BY 12Z SUNDAY AS
HEIGHTS RISE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  SHORT WAVE
TROUGH ROUNDING THE BASE OF THIS UPPER LOW ATTM OVER NRN BAJA/NWRN
MEXICO PER WV IMAGERY IS PROGGED TO TRACK ESEWD MAINLY OVER NRN
MEXICO.  

WEAK INSTABILITY EXISTS OVER AZ DUE TO AFTERNOON SURFACE HEATING
BENEATH COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-23C AT 500 MB PER FGZ 00Z
SOUNDING/.  THIS INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH WEAK WAA WILL SUPPORT
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY UNTIL A FEW HOURS AFTER DARK...
WHEN THE AIR MASS SHOULD STABILIZE.

SELY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN TO 30-40 KT FROM DEEP S TX/LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY INTO THE HILL COUNTRY.  RESULTANT WAA WITHIN A MOIST AIR MASS
IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT ENOUGH DESTABILIZATION FOR ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN TX.

..PETERS.. 11/14/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.