[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 081622
SWODY1
SPC AC 081620

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM CST MON NOV 08 2004

VALID 081630Z - 091200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E SBA 20 NW EDW 20
E NID 70 W DRA 50 ESE BIH 25 NE BIH 55 NNE BIH 65 ENE U31 EVW 35 SW
RKS 15 NNW GUC 20 ESE 4SL 45 ENE TCS 20 W ELP.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST...
UPPER LOW NOW OVER SRN CA EXPECTED TO TRACK NE TO NEAR LAS LATER
TODAY...BEFORE CONTINUING INTO W CNTRL OR S CNTRL UT BY 12Z TUESDAY.
 SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW APPROACHING SRN-MOST
PART OF LOW NEAR SAN.  THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD ROTATE NE ACROSS NRN
AZ LATER TODAY...AND REACH NW NM/SW CO EARLY TUESDAY.  WELL SE OF
THE CA LOW...A CONVEYOR ORIGINATING DEEP IN THE TROPICS WILL SPREAD
HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS TX THROUGH THE PERIOD.

SCATTERED DIURNALLY ENHANCED THUNDER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PRECEDE
AND ACCOMPANY UPPER VORT CROSSING PARTS OF SRN CA...SRN NV ...NW AZ
AND SW UT LATER TODAY. ONE OR TWO CELLS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL
GIVEN COOL /AOB MINUS 20 C/ 500 MB TEMPERATURES...PRESENCE OF
MOISTURE AT 700 MB /DEWPOINTS AROUND 0 C/...AND OROGRAPHIC UPLIFT
OVER NW AZ/SE NV/SW UT.

FARTHER SE...MORE ISOLATED/EMBEDDED THUNDER EXPECTED TO PERSIST
ALONG COLD FRONT OVER CNTRL/ERN AZ NE TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION.  UNIDIRECTIONAL NATURE OF DEEP SSWLY FLOW AND CLOUDINESS IN
FRONTAL BAND SHOULD LIMIT ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL DESPITE STRENGTH OF 
SHEAR AND SUSTAINED LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT.

..CORFIDI/TAYLOR.. 11/08/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.